Seismic Scenario Losses estimation based on the vulnerability of pre-code masonry buildings in the Metropolitan Area of Lisbon

Abstract

The metropolitan area of Lisbon is the region of Portugal with the highest seismic risk, given the coexistence of moderate-to-high hazard with high population density and building stock exposure. The present work addresses the seismic risk assessment of pre-code masonry buildings in this region, accounting various typological classes and conservation states in order to evaluate the consequences in terms of economic losses. The analyses are conducted through a seismic probabilistic approach, considering the sitespecific ground motion through a non-stationary stochastic method. The results can serve as a useful guide for decision-making in developing regional seismic risk mitigation strategies.