A finite – fault modeling of the 1755 Lisbon earthquake sources

Abstract

This work uses a non-stationary stochastic seismological model, based on random vibration theory, for calculating response spectra and synthesizing strong ground motion acceleration records for Portugal Mainland. The validation of the method and comparison with strong ground motion records for Portugal are entirely carried out in terms of 5% damped pseudo absolute response spectra for acceleration. The calibrated model is used to simulate ground motion acceleration for the 1755 Lisbon earthquake. Five potential source rupture models that have been recently proposed by several authors for the 1755 Lisbon earthquake are tested: two analytical models based on hydrodynamic studies; two models based on seismic surveys and on from a recent suggestion based on induced stress changes. For all models, peak ground acceleration maps are compared with iso-intensities map of the earthquake in order to test the ability of the source models for estimating the intensities of the earthquake. The peak ground motion is calculated for different unknown parameters like the rupture velocity, the slip distribution and the nucleation point. The fault parameters like dimension, dip and strike are the ones proposed by the authors of the different analysed source models